Helllllllooooooooo everyone,
Long time no see. I've been wanting to write this entry for several months now. I've been busy with my stats classes, keeping sane, and staying afloat financially. [Sidebar: When I say "staying afloat", I mean it like drowning... but managing to get your head above water JUST long enough to catch a quick breath before you go under long enough for your lungs to burn. Rinse and repeat.]
But enough of that... I have an interesting story to tell you all. [Trust me when I tell you that the pace with which I am typing these keys now is one that only compares to those all-nighters I would pull to write my 10+ page term papers as an undergrad... only with more of a purpose... and joy.]
Several months ago, I get the following text message from a female friend:
"So gentlemen,I was having a debate w/a male friend of mine...I know this isn't a hot topic of discussion,but if ur all not embarrassed 2 respond, I'd appreciate honest responses.1)would/do u mind having sex w/ ur girl when she has her period 2)would/do u mind doing "strategic" oral sex 2 ur girl if she has her period- ask if u need clarification on strategic 3)would/do u prefer just a bj to sex from ur girl when she has her period- this one was a hoot!"
[FYI, for those of you wondering, like I did... "strategic meaning: clitoral tongue action only. not necessarily tongue to vaginal opening"]
After mulling it over I replied by e-mail (since she needed written evidence). Then I got curious to know what my fellow XY chromosome comrades thought of these questions. I got busy contacting my buddies to get their feedback. Partly to give my friend some more content for her debate but the researcher in me was curious to see if there were any trends in the responses I'd get.
Here were the questions I asked my friends:
(1) Would you/do you mind having sex with your girl when she has her period?
(2) Would you/do you mind "strategic" oral sex to your girl if she has her period? ("strategic" = tongue-to-clitoris contact)
(3) Would you/do you prefer just a BJ to sex from your girl when she is on her period?
(Follow-up to Q3) Would you ask for the BJ or only take it if offered?
I had 21 friends reply (why did I think there were more??) and here are the results (with my answers included among the totals) along with any funny/quirky/insightful quotes to these yes/no questions added in.
- - - - - - - - - - - - - -
(1) Yes, they would have sex during period - 12
"My penis has no sense of smell or taste"
"only in the shower or covered bed"
"with a condom and if she cleans up"
"a shower takes care of that"
"but on a VERY slow day"
No, they would not - 9
"I'd try anything once but I wouldn't be enthusiastic about it"
"but sometimes you have to take one for the team to make her happy"
Depends on state of mind - 1
- - - - - - - - - - - - - -
(2) Yes, would perform "strategic" oral - 1
No "strategic" oral - 20
"NAY!!! Mouth stays fffffffaaaaaaaaaaaaaaarrrrrrrrrrr away from that area until things clear up. lol"
- - - - - - - - - - - - - -
(3) Yes, they would prefer BJ over sex - 15
"If she's comfortable only"
"It's easier"
"It's all about reciprocating so I won't lose sleep if there is no BJ during this time"
"If I had a choice - which most of the time I don't - I would prefer a BJ over sex"
No to BJ over sex - 5
"Sex over BJ but a BJ or a handjob would do [if that's all there is]"
Depends on state of mind - 1
- - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Follow-up Q
Yes (would ask for a BJ) - 2
"whatever floats her boat"
"a BJ is good but would rather have sex"
"I would ask in a diplomatic way"
No (would not ask for it but would take it if offered) - 12
"only if she prefers that"
"asking for it ruins the experience"
Other - 2
"feel bad about getting and not giving"
"it depends on the girl. some are givers and some aren't"
- - - - - - - - - - - - - -
It would seem as if the guys are almost split evenly among those who would and would not do it during "that time of the month". There was a resounding, nearly unanimous NO on question 2 about the strategic oral. Also when given the choice, my pool of respondents would mainly prefer a BJ over sex during this time but acknowledged that it isn't up to them (us?). I suspect there was a case of "If I have to answer this question then..." and is not really a reflection of what would actually happen under those circumstances. Finally, most of the guys recognize that getting a BJ is a privilege and not something we should necessarily ask for per se (unless done "diplomatically"! LOL). Besides, there are plenty of women who refuse to do that (just like there are plenty of guy who won't reciprocate).
I'm considering revisiting these questions but from the female perspective. Any of my female friends reading this... you've been warned. Expect an e-mail/FB message from me in the near future.
For the guys reading this... are any of you brave enough to answer these questions? You could comment anonymously but any feedback would be welcome!
Until next time, faithful reader......
Showing posts with label analysis. Show all posts
Showing posts with label analysis. Show all posts
Wednesday, May 18, 2011
Monday, February 21, 2011
Are you sick of highly paid teachers?
I will be breaking from the norm with this RaUM entry. I came across this post through a friend on FB and felt it was worth repeating (or - depending on your frame of mind - borrowing, or stealing, or sharing):
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
"Teachers' hefty salaries are driving up taxes, and they only work 9 or10 months a year! It's time we put things in perspective and pay them for what they do - babysit! We can get that for less than minimum wage.
That's right. Let's give them $3.00 an hour and only the hours they worked; not any of that silly planning time, or any time they spend before or after school. That would be $19.50 a day (7:45 to 3:00 PM with 45 min. off for lunch and plan-- that equals 6 1/2 hours).
Each parent should pay $19.50 a day for these teachers to baby-sit their children. Now how many students do they teach in a day...maybe 30? So that's $19.50 x 30 = $585.00 a day.
However, remember they only work 180 days a year!!! I am not going to pay them for any vacations.
LET'S SEE.... That's $585 X 180= $105,300 per year. (Hold on! My calculator needs new batteries).
What about those special education teachers and the ones with Master's degrees? Well, we could pay them minimum wage ($7.75), and just to be fair, round it off to $8.00 an hour. That would be $8 X 6 1/2 hours X 30 children X 180 days = $280,800 per year.
Wait a minute -- there's something wrong here! There sure is!
The average teacher's salary (nationwide) is $50,000. $50,000/180 days = $277.77/per day/30 students = $9.25/6.5 hours = $1.42 per hour per student--a very inexpensive baby-sitter and they even EDUCATE your kids!
WHAT A DEAL!!!!"
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
As a fellow educator, I post this in solidarity with individuals who are already teaching and those who are working hard towards their degrees in education. It's a tough road and a career path that isn't for everyone. But, for those of us who love what we do (and stick with it), this is a fresh perspective on an old argument.
Until next time, faithful reader......
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
"Teachers' hefty salaries are driving up taxes, and they only work 9 or10 months a year! It's time we put things in perspective and pay them for what they do - babysit! We can get that for less than minimum wage.
That's right. Let's give them $3.00 an hour and only the hours they worked; not any of that silly planning time, or any time they spend before or after school. That would be $19.50 a day (7:45 to 3:00 PM with 45 min. off for lunch and plan-- that equals 6 1/2 hours).
Each parent should pay $19.50 a day for these teachers to baby-sit their children. Now how many students do they teach in a day...maybe 30? So that's $19.50 x 30 = $585.00 a day.
However, remember they only work 180 days a year!!! I am not going to pay them for any vacations.
LET'S SEE.... That's $585 X 180= $105,300 per year. (Hold on! My calculator needs new batteries).
What about those special education teachers and the ones with Master's degrees? Well, we could pay them minimum wage ($7.75), and just to be fair, round it off to $8.00 an hour. That would be $8 X 6 1/2 hours X 30 children X 180 days = $280,800 per year.
Wait a minute -- there's something wrong here! There sure is!
The average teacher's salary (nationwide) is $50,000. $50,000/180 days = $277.77/per day/30 students = $9.25/6.5 hours = $1.42 per hour per student--a very inexpensive baby-sitter and they even EDUCATE your kids!
WHAT A DEAL!!!!"
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
As a fellow educator, I post this in solidarity with individuals who are already teaching and those who are working hard towards their degrees in education. It's a tough road and a career path that isn't for everyone. But, for those of us who love what we do (and stick with it), this is a fresh perspective on an old argument.
Until next time, faithful reader......
Monday, June 14, 2010
Test Taking Archetypes (or Profiling My Students)
Tonight, my summer class will be taking their midterm and it reminded me of something I was working on informally several months ago.
As most of you may know by now, I’ve been teaching for about 2 years. In that time, I’ve seen hundreds of students taking my exams. What was interesting to me was observing my students as they trudged through my tests. During one of these boring nights of proctoring, I took note of the different behaviors that I observed among my class. I realized that there are many different types of test takers. In this RaUM entry, I’ve compiled 13 distinct groups of students and will describe each of their habits, nervous tics, or patterns that separate them from other students.
While putting together this list, I tried to think back to my time as an undergrad to recall which type of test taker I was when I was younger. But it’s just too hard to see things from the inside, especially after so many years have passed since I’ve had the nervous energy that came every time I took an exam. There’s simply no way to know how I behaved before while taking any of those tests.
Here are the 13 test taker archetypes:
1) The Yawners – These students either lost sleep studying, panicking about the exam, or simply use yawning as a coping mechanism while taking the test. They can be fairly annoying to others around them, especially when the yawns are more vocal.
2) The Fidgeters – These students suffer from leg shakes and constantly shifting position. It’s as if they cannot get comfortable in their chair while taking the test. Are they sitting on a cactus chair? WTF!!
3) The Peekers – These students have a tendency to look up while thinking of an answer but they use the professor as their primary point of focus. This can get kind of creepy after a half hour of the same thing.
4) The Anti-Peekers – These students use a similar recall technique as ‘The Peekers’ except they look around at anything, and anyone, BUT the professor. They make every effort to NOT have the professor in their line of sight while looking up. These students rouse a great deal of suspicion. I consistently feel the need to keep my eyes on them as I suspect they’re trying to cheat in the most conspicuous way possible.
5) The Eyes Down – These students are the type that will have their head down and noses buried deep in the exam paper. All I see is the top of their head during the entire exam. They will not make their face visible until they finish the exam when they finally lift their head up. Sometimes I wonder if they’re even awake and as I walk by them I listen for snoring.
6) The “Sigh”-ers – These students (like ‘The Yawners’) use a form of exhalation during the exam that can get annoying to those around them if done in excess, which is usually true for those in this group. The sighing isn’t necessarily a sign of frustration or annoyance but can simply be a release of anxiety and nervous energy.
7) The Over-Reviewers – These students are the double-, triple-, quadruple-checkers who feel the constant need to review their answers to be absolutely sure that they have answered everything correctly and avoided any possible mistake. This doesn’t mean they always catch their mistakes but they feel better having reviewed their work repeatedly before handing their exam in. They are also likely to stay for the full duration of the exam (even if they’ve finished early)
8) The ‘Dory’ – Just like the character in Finding Nemo, these students are easily distracted and almost forget the task at hand. It’s a miracle that they even finish the exam!
9) The Over-Confident – Unlike the “Over Reviewers”, this group finish their exam fairly quickly and are so sure of their performance that they don’t give any question/answer a second look while taking the exam. They’re typically among the first to finish any exam.
10) The Head Slappers – The name says it all. Another nervous tic exhibited by students either to release tension or to smack around some brain cells to recall the information they need to answer a question. No bruising or injury has occurred yet in my classes. Though there has been plenty of forehead rubbing after the slaps.
11) The Time Keepers – These students are very aware of the amount of time they have to complete an exam and will pace themselves (whether intentional or not is difficult to gauge) to complete the exam at, or near, the end time. The will use every possible minute (and, at times, second) allotted to complete the exam.
12) The Tiny Bladders – These students are the ones who in the middle of the exam ask to go to the bathroom. I personally try to avoid any conflict with the “Tiny Bladders” by telling them they should go right before the exam or hold it until they’re done. Any suspicion of cheating is grounds for a zero on an exam in my classroom this includes going to the bathroom for an extended period of time (I’m not a COMPLETE ogre about the bathroom. I understand that you can’t control the urges to go)
13) The Exasperated – These students are the ones who seem completely lost during every single exam. When they look up, they have a WTF look on their face and you can sense a tinge of desperation as they try to work their way through the exam. I feel bad for them but it’s their way. Usually they’re pleasantly surprised by their success on an exam since they tend to walk out of an exam positive that they failed.
So, faithful reader, which type are you?
Until next time……
As most of you may know by now, I’ve been teaching for about 2 years. In that time, I’ve seen hundreds of students taking my exams. What was interesting to me was observing my students as they trudged through my tests. During one of these boring nights of proctoring, I took note of the different behaviors that I observed among my class. I realized that there are many different types of test takers. In this RaUM entry, I’ve compiled 13 distinct groups of students and will describe each of their habits, nervous tics, or patterns that separate them from other students.
While putting together this list, I tried to think back to my time as an undergrad to recall which type of test taker I was when I was younger. But it’s just too hard to see things from the inside, especially after so many years have passed since I’ve had the nervous energy that came every time I took an exam. There’s simply no way to know how I behaved before while taking any of those tests.
Here are the 13 test taker archetypes:
1) The Yawners – These students either lost sleep studying, panicking about the exam, or simply use yawning as a coping mechanism while taking the test. They can be fairly annoying to others around them, especially when the yawns are more vocal.
2) The Fidgeters – These students suffer from leg shakes and constantly shifting position. It’s as if they cannot get comfortable in their chair while taking the test. Are they sitting on a cactus chair? WTF!!
3) The Peekers – These students have a tendency to look up while thinking of an answer but they use the professor as their primary point of focus. This can get kind of creepy after a half hour of the same thing.
4) The Anti-Peekers – These students use a similar recall technique as ‘The Peekers’ except they look around at anything, and anyone, BUT the professor. They make every effort to NOT have the professor in their line of sight while looking up. These students rouse a great deal of suspicion. I consistently feel the need to keep my eyes on them as I suspect they’re trying to cheat in the most conspicuous way possible.
5) The Eyes Down – These students are the type that will have their head down and noses buried deep in the exam paper. All I see is the top of their head during the entire exam. They will not make their face visible until they finish the exam when they finally lift their head up. Sometimes I wonder if they’re even awake and as I walk by them I listen for snoring.
6) The “Sigh”-ers – These students (like ‘The Yawners’) use a form of exhalation during the exam that can get annoying to those around them if done in excess, which is usually true for those in this group. The sighing isn’t necessarily a sign of frustration or annoyance but can simply be a release of anxiety and nervous energy.
7) The Over-Reviewers – These students are the double-, triple-, quadruple-checkers who feel the constant need to review their answers to be absolutely sure that they have answered everything correctly and avoided any possible mistake. This doesn’t mean they always catch their mistakes but they feel better having reviewed their work repeatedly before handing their exam in. They are also likely to stay for the full duration of the exam (even if they’ve finished early)
8) The ‘Dory’ – Just like the character in Finding Nemo, these students are easily distracted and almost forget the task at hand. It’s a miracle that they even finish the exam!
9) The Over-Confident – Unlike the “Over Reviewers”, this group finish their exam fairly quickly and are so sure of their performance that they don’t give any question/answer a second look while taking the exam. They’re typically among the first to finish any exam.
10) The Head Slappers – The name says it all. Another nervous tic exhibited by students either to release tension or to smack around some brain cells to recall the information they need to answer a question. No bruising or injury has occurred yet in my classes. Though there has been plenty of forehead rubbing after the slaps.
11) The Time Keepers – These students are very aware of the amount of time they have to complete an exam and will pace themselves (whether intentional or not is difficult to gauge) to complete the exam at, or near, the end time. The will use every possible minute (and, at times, second) allotted to complete the exam.
12) The Tiny Bladders – These students are the ones who in the middle of the exam ask to go to the bathroom. I personally try to avoid any conflict with the “Tiny Bladders” by telling them they should go right before the exam or hold it until they’re done. Any suspicion of cheating is grounds for a zero on an exam in my classroom this includes going to the bathroom for an extended period of time (I’m not a COMPLETE ogre about the bathroom. I understand that you can’t control the urges to go)
13) The Exasperated – These students are the ones who seem completely lost during every single exam. When they look up, they have a WTF look on their face and you can sense a tinge of desperation as they try to work their way through the exam. I feel bad for them but it’s their way. Usually they’re pleasantly surprised by their success on an exam since they tend to walk out of an exam positive that they failed.
So, faithful reader, which type are you?
Until next time……
Saturday, September 26, 2009
Who is The One?
No. I don't mean Neo (from the Matrix).
I'm referring to "THE ONE": the ideal mate that we all are destined to meet, fall in love with, and have a happy and fulfilling life with!
In a recent conversation with my best friend, we discussed the concept of "the one". There are many people who want to live by this idea and use it as the yardstick with which to measure all potential mates. The danger in that way of thinking is that you may end up having expectations that are exceedingly high. So high, in fact, that no person could realistically meet them. This is not to say a person should settle for less than they feel they deserve but we need to bear in mind how irrational the idea of the perfect mate ("the one") truly is. These people may be closing the door on opportunities with a potentially great mate and maybe, if they're lucky enough, their future husband or wife.
This model of perfection is something that we use to highlight all the characteristics we want in a mate, both on the inside and the outside. Some people are more shallow than others and only care about the outside while others consider themselves people of substance, more concerned with the inner beauty in a potential mate.
I think my "one" is somewhere in between. I'd be lying if I said I wasn't a little shallow regarding looks but I also don't want someone supermodel-esque (nor would I turn it away, I'm not stupid!). I've always been more of a 'natural beauty' kind of guy. I'm a sucker for a beautiful smile. It's not just about having nice teeth but also having their heart and soul shine in their laughter and smile. No fakeness to it at all. I'm neither a "boob man" nor an "ass man". This is not to say I want a flat-chested, flat-assed woman. I'm a fan of shapely women. Nice hips and curves are extremely sexy to me. =)
I like women with a great sense of humor. Sarcasm is always welcome. The ability to laugh at yourself is critical. Also, my 'one' need to be able to dish it out a little. She is someone who will keep me on my toes. I'm a smart man (toot toot) and need a woman who is on my level and can keep up with me when I drop the occasional one-liner. If I have to explain myself it kills the whole purpose of the joke, innuendo, or statement.
I want a woman who isn't afraid to speak her mind no matter how mundane or intimate a subject is. My 'one' is an affectionate woman who won't keep me guessing how she feels about me, our relationship, or anything else important to her (or us). One other facet of 'the one' deals with our sexual desires and needs. I won't discuss this aspect of my 'one' on this blog. But if you're wondering, I know what I would like and dislike from my 'one' when it comes to sex/sexuality/sensuality/etc.
This, by no means, is the entire list. These are the characteristics that have come to my mind while writing this blog entry. But, to me (as I'm sure it is for most people), the list is quite exhaustive and ranges from the minimal traits to characteristics that are "deal-breakers" for certain people. I believe the best we can all hope for is someone who matches the majority of the characteristics we hope to find in "the one".
There is one other issue with idea of 'the one'. The truth of the matter is that there is no ACTUAL "one". 'The one' is constantly evolving as we grow older (and wiser?). Our needs, expectations, and likes/dislikes change with time and 'the one' changes with us. The people we meet, the events in our lives, and other social factors constantly influence us and causes us to re-evaluate what we value in our lives. It's very difficult to find a person who will change along with us in the way that we would like. To expect someone to change in every little way to meet our selfish desires is one of the major causes of break-ups among many of my friends.
I consider 'the one' to be more like 'the one right now'. We can't anticipate what will change within us. And that's part of the beauty of life and living. We don't know what tomorrow will bring. The best we can hope for is someone who is understanding enough to accept us for who we are and that he/she is someone that we can do the same for.
Thanks for listening. What's your take on this?
Look forward to hearing from you.
Until next time, faithful reader......
I'm referring to "THE ONE": the ideal mate that we all are destined to meet, fall in love with, and have a happy and fulfilling life with!
In a recent conversation with my best friend, we discussed the concept of "the one". There are many people who want to live by this idea and use it as the yardstick with which to measure all potential mates. The danger in that way of thinking is that you may end up having expectations that are exceedingly high. So high, in fact, that no person could realistically meet them. This is not to say a person should settle for less than they feel they deserve but we need to bear in mind how irrational the idea of the perfect mate ("the one") truly is. These people may be closing the door on opportunities with a potentially great mate and maybe, if they're lucky enough, their future husband or wife.
This model of perfection is something that we use to highlight all the characteristics we want in a mate, both on the inside and the outside. Some people are more shallow than others and only care about the outside while others consider themselves people of substance, more concerned with the inner beauty in a potential mate.
I think my "one" is somewhere in between. I'd be lying if I said I wasn't a little shallow regarding looks but I also don't want someone supermodel-esque (nor would I turn it away, I'm not stupid!). I've always been more of a 'natural beauty' kind of guy. I'm a sucker for a beautiful smile. It's not just about having nice teeth but also having their heart and soul shine in their laughter and smile. No fakeness to it at all. I'm neither a "boob man" nor an "ass man". This is not to say I want a flat-chested, flat-assed woman. I'm a fan of shapely women. Nice hips and curves are extremely sexy to me. =)
I like women with a great sense of humor. Sarcasm is always welcome. The ability to laugh at yourself is critical. Also, my 'one' need to be able to dish it out a little. She is someone who will keep me on my toes. I'm a smart man (toot toot) and need a woman who is on my level and can keep up with me when I drop the occasional one-liner. If I have to explain myself it kills the whole purpose of the joke, innuendo, or statement.
I want a woman who isn't afraid to speak her mind no matter how mundane or intimate a subject is. My 'one' is an affectionate woman who won't keep me guessing how she feels about me, our relationship, or anything else important to her (or us). One other facet of 'the one' deals with our sexual desires and needs. I won't discuss this aspect of my 'one' on this blog. But if you're wondering, I know what I would like and dislike from my 'one' when it comes to sex/sexuality/sensuality/etc.
This, by no means, is the entire list. These are the characteristics that have come to my mind while writing this blog entry. But, to me (as I'm sure it is for most people), the list is quite exhaustive and ranges from the minimal traits to characteristics that are "deal-breakers" for certain people. I believe the best we can all hope for is someone who matches the majority of the characteristics we hope to find in "the one".
There is one other issue with idea of 'the one'. The truth of the matter is that there is no ACTUAL "one". 'The one' is constantly evolving as we grow older (and wiser?). Our needs, expectations, and likes/dislikes change with time and 'the one' changes with us. The people we meet, the events in our lives, and other social factors constantly influence us and causes us to re-evaluate what we value in our lives. It's very difficult to find a person who will change along with us in the way that we would like. To expect someone to change in every little way to meet our selfish desires is one of the major causes of break-ups among many of my friends.
I consider 'the one' to be more like 'the one right now'. We can't anticipate what will change within us. And that's part of the beauty of life and living. We don't know what tomorrow will bring. The best we can hope for is someone who is understanding enough to accept us for who we are and that he/she is someone that we can do the same for.
Thanks for listening. What's your take on this?
Look forward to hearing from you.
Until next time, faithful reader......
Saturday, November 15, 2008
UFC 91 Preview (and why YOU should care)
Welcome Ladies and Gentleman,
UFC 91 is scheduled for tonight at 10PM (EST) on PPV. The main event of the evening will feature the return of Randy "The Natural" Couture v Brock Lesnar for Couture's Heavyweight championship belt.
(My apologies to any hardcore MMA fans who will be reading this post as most of this is old news to you. But scroll down if you're only here for the predictions.)
I won't bore you with the details of the past year's developments so I will give you the abridged recap of the past year or so in the UFC's heavyweight division: Randy Couture was the UFC champion last year. During a contract dispute between he and the UFC, the promotion crowns an interim champ while things with Randy got sorted out (for better or worse). The interim champ, Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira ("Big Nog") was scheduled to defend his belt against Frank Mir after the conclusion of this season's The Ultimate Fighter on Spike TV. During the taping of TUF, Randy and the UFC settled their differences which did not allow for the scheduling of a title unification bout between Big Nog and Randy. The opponent chosen by the UFC for Randy's belt was Brock Lesnar.
Why Brock?
(1) $ - This is a big money match up between two recognizable names. There are so many ways this bout can be promoted (and analyzed): wrestler v. wrestler (not to be confused with pro wrestler); experience v. youth; small heavyweight v huge heavyweight; champ with a year long layoff v challenger who has recently competed. No matter how you slice it, this main event has the making of a blockbuster.
(2) Vendetta - Many have said that Dana White (UFC President) saw this as a "punishment" match for Randy after what he put the company through. Though vindictive, it is reasonable to say that they lose nothing if Randy loses the belt to Brock. It would reinvigorate the heavyweight division which has been somewhat neglected the past few years. The UFC would also be able to expect good returns of future Randy Couture main events because people live "The Natural".
(3) No one else? - There are several heavyweights in the division now but the ones that have been in the UFC for a while have not had impressive performances while those heavyweights that joined over the past several months have made huge strides towards what will eventually be a title shot (if they continue to win). But NONE of them have the physique and instant recognition that Lesnar does.
Though an Mixed Martial Arts (MMA, for short) neophyte, Lesnar has a lot of crossover appeal from his days in the WWE. Let's not forget that he does have a legitimate base for MMA with his background as as NCAA wrestling champ. Make no mistake. Brock Lesnar, according to many, does not deserve a title shot after only being 2-1 in his short MMA career. This is still a business and the UFC is striking while the iron is hot.
This PPV event has the potential to be a transcendental moment for MMA. It could put MMA firmly in the American sports landscape and people will start seeing it as another combat sport on par with boxing (if not better than boxing). Tonight could be the start of a new way of thinking about MMA. The American consciousness could begin to shift away from seeing MMA as simply a modern version of the Bloodsport movies and underground (and illegal) MMA groups that existed in the 80's and early 90's. This change in paradigm is critical for mainstream acceptance of MMA. And though the UFC is the leader of the MMA movement, we cannot forget that it is simply the big fish in the pond. Much like MLB dominates professional baseball while the minor league system and independent baseball leagues still manage to survive. Other promotions like Affliction, Strikeforce, and WEC will aid the UFC in this movement but it won't be easy and acceptance of the sport will not take place overnight... but tonight's event will come close to being an overnight coup.
With all that said... time for predictions. Many thanks to Jorge who has taken the time to provide his insight on tonight's card. My comments and prediction will follow his:
UNDERCARD--
Matt Brown v. Ryan Thomas -
Well, At this point I'll have to go for Brown. He definitely showed he had determination and skill during the show. His bout with Sadollah was a true war and there's no shame in losing the the guy that won the whole thing. I don't really know much about Thomas except that he has been in a winning streak in smaller mid-west organizations. Although Brown just lost to Kim via decision, I think he will "welcome" Thomas into the UFC and show him the difference between the farm leagues and the big time show.
[I agree with J on this one. A rude welcoming is in store for Thomas. Though I don't think he'll be a pushover. I expect a decision for Brown]
Mark Bocek v. Alvin Robinson -
Bocek is great on the ground, but Robinson is sick in the ground. He has great transitions and I think he will overwhelm Bocek. Bocek is coming off two loses to [Frankie] Edgar and [Mac] Danzig, while Robinson has a loss against KenFlo. They both have something to prove, but I think Robinson will pull it off.
[Again I concur with J, but I suspect it'll be more due to experience edge Robinson has. However, expect Bocek to get some chances to finish the fight. Robinson by TKO - a little G'n'P in the 2nd round]
Jeremy Stephens v. Rafael Dos Anjos -
Stephens has been around and he had a nice winning streak until he faced Spencer Fisher. Although I think this will be a good match, Dos Anjos has better BJJ. He also has more high profile fights, albeit in Japan without a cage. I say Dos Anjos.
[My gut is telling me to go with Stephens even though my brain is screaming dos Anjos. Cage experience trumps impact debut once again tonight. Unanimous decision for Stephens despite a good showing for Gracie Fusion's dos Anjos]
Jorge Gurgel v. Aaron Riley -
Riley is virtual unknown that has been in a lot of fights but never wins against any B class or above fighter. Gurgel is a guy that in my opinion should stick to coaching because with his skills he should be finishing dudes instead of eating a lot of punches and losing decisions. I go with Riley on principle, although Gurgel will most likely submit him in the 2nd.
[I told J earlier, I want to root for Gurgel and I'm all for the "make the fight exciting by trading punches with your opponent" but he just doesn't have the striking chops to keep standing. If Gurgel can mix in some takedowns and sub attempts then MAYBE he can grind out a decision victory but I suspect his ego and misplaced pride will get in the way of a proper gameplan. Riley is 3-3 in his last 6 fights but the losses came to Ryan Shultz, Eddie Alvarez, and Spencer Fisher. Not a bad list. Gurgel wouldn't fare much better against those 3. Riley by decision - Gurgel's too good to be subbed and something tells me Riley won't be able to finish it with his striking.]
MAIN CARD--
Dustin Hazelett v. Tamdan McCroy - Tamdam who? Hazelett is still a C level, maybe B level fighter, but he's way better that a guy that gets along with his size. I McLovin via Sub.
[HAHA McCrory who? Yeah yeah he may get no love but McLovin may have his hands full. If it was a battle of nicknames Hazelett's got it hands down-McLovin' vs. The Barn Cat?? No contest, folks!!!- but Hazelett has faced better competition which should give him the edge. Could be a sleeper fight of the night if other major bouts end quickly. McLovin by a super-sweet RNC in the 3rd.]
Demian Maia v. Nate Quarry -
I respect Maia a lot. I think his BJJ is first class and he can definitely scrap. However, Quarry is the man, and he's always improving. Maia has not been dominant in any of the fights I've seen and I think Quarry is going to inflict too much damage even on the ground. I think Quarry has enough sub defense to keep Maia at bay and continue to inflict damage. The rock via TKO strikes.
[Maia has 3 consecutive Submission of the Night honors. And we had to wait nearly 7 months to see Quarry after the embarrassing showing by Starnes. I think this may make Quarry vulnerable in the early going but once he settles in I think he'll be tough to beat. If Maia can slap a sub on early then it may be lights out for Nate but I'm giving this to Quarry as Maia hasn't faced anyone that has as good standup as Quarry. Quarry by KO in the 2nd]
Gabriel Gonzaga v. Josh Hendricks - GG wins via anything he wants to do. Hendricks is in his twilight and this should be a walk in the park for GG. Now Hendricks does hit hard and is a solid wrestler so GG does need to avoid showing off and he has to watch his cardio specially if this goes to the later rounds. I say GG via.. duh... sub.
[I agree that this is a walk in the park for Napao. This is just a set-up for one of the better heavyweights to regain some recognition and maybe work his way up to a title shot. Napao by sub early 2nd -- possibly late in the first round.]
Kenny Florian v. Joe Stevenson -
Now this can be a really good fight, or a bore fest. Given the way KenFlo handled himself against Huerta we may see him bicycle around and picking shots from a distance. The worst thing Stevenson can do is engage in a stand-up battle. I think Kenflo can win this because he has better cardio and his way to slick for Stevenson to submit. I fear it may be a decision as KenFLo "evades" a la Machida and earns the judges votes on points. I hope I'm wrong and Stevenson pushes KenFlo to the cage takes him down and makes this a fight!
[I think the gameplan Jorge mentioned is correct but I think Stevenson's frustration will force Kenny to engage a little and that's where the fight will be won. Neither one has a major advantage on the ground and both have good cardio. I suspect this bout could have a quick end if one of these guys can get a couple of good shots in. Neither one has knockout power IMO and neither one has a glass jaw... but the one who can get the better of the mini-flurries will win this bout... by decision. Agree on possible fight of the night honors.]
Randy Couture v. Brock Lesnar -
Experience v Youth, Strategy v power, Skill v raw strength... we could go on all night. I'm worried about Lesnar's size, strength and explosiveness. I'm worried about Lesnar's hulking size and ability to hold people on the mat. I'm worried because this mastodon actually has footwork and will not be as easy a target to punch in the face. Finally I'm worried because Couture's greco clinch and dirty boxing may be simply shrugged off and nullified. I think Lesnar's main weakness is submission defense, unfortunately for Couure that means he has to tangle with Lesnar and possibly go to the ground. I think Couture can do it, I think he can frustrate Lesnar with strikes and leg kicks and get him on the mat, work a good mount and rain strikes on him. But in the end I'm worried about Lesnar doing what we all know he can do and put an exclamation point on Randy's career. I'll say Couture, because he has a real shot, but also because I'm hoping against hope.
[I don't want to repeat a lot of what has already been said but this is by far one of the toughest fights I've ever had to predict. There are just so many unknowns and what-ifs. Will Lesnar's size be a non-factor since Couture had large heavyweights in training camp? Will Randy's experience trump Lesnar's hunger to be champion? Will there be ring rust for "The Natural"? Will the "big game jitters" affect Brock? Ultimately, I think the fight is Brock's to lose. He runs on adrenaline and works well at feeding off of the crowd (probably picked up from his WWE days). If the fans back Randy, he'll play the "bad guy" role. If they root for him - unlikely - he'll get super pumped. If he lets the crowd get to him, his amplified adrenaline rush could cause him to break his gameplan or get a little too excited and make mistakes... which Randy could capitalize on. Couture is a master strategist and I am sure Randy will have a great gameplan. The question is whether he will be able to implement it. I feel that, for Lesnar, a loss at this stage of his career would do more for his development as an MMA fighter. But I've worked out all possibilities I could think of and I honestly cannot see Randy do anything to really beat Lesnar. If Couture loses, we could see him next against either dos Santos (who looked really good against Werdum last month) or Gonzaga if he wins tonight. There is the chance that Randy grinds out a decision victory. In the end, I think his layoff hurts him and Brock gets the win. I honestly don't know how. He won't be able to sub Randy, though I think he maybe able to overwhelm him with his size and wild striking. Ladies and gents, we will have a new heavyweight champion tonight... I think. lol.]
This should indeed be a good night for MMA.
I'll see you all back here tomorrow as I review how we did in our predictions.
- AG
UFC 91 is scheduled for tonight at 10PM (EST) on PPV. The main event of the evening will feature the return of Randy "The Natural" Couture v Brock Lesnar for Couture's Heavyweight championship belt.
(My apologies to any hardcore MMA fans who will be reading this post as most of this is old news to you. But scroll down if you're only here for the predictions.)
I won't bore you with the details of the past year's developments so I will give you the abridged recap of the past year or so in the UFC's heavyweight division: Randy Couture was the UFC champion last year. During a contract dispute between he and the UFC, the promotion crowns an interim champ while things with Randy got sorted out (for better or worse). The interim champ, Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira ("Big Nog") was scheduled to defend his belt against Frank Mir after the conclusion of this season's The Ultimate Fighter on Spike TV. During the taping of TUF, Randy and the UFC settled their differences which did not allow for the scheduling of a title unification bout between Big Nog and Randy. The opponent chosen by the UFC for Randy's belt was Brock Lesnar.
Why Brock?
(1) $ - This is a big money match up between two recognizable names. There are so many ways this bout can be promoted (and analyzed): wrestler v. wrestler (not to be confused with pro wrestler); experience v. youth; small heavyweight v huge heavyweight; champ with a year long layoff v challenger who has recently competed. No matter how you slice it, this main event has the making of a blockbuster.
(2) Vendetta - Many have said that Dana White (UFC President) saw this as a "punishment" match for Randy after what he put the company through. Though vindictive, it is reasonable to say that they lose nothing if Randy loses the belt to Brock. It would reinvigorate the heavyweight division which has been somewhat neglected the past few years. The UFC would also be able to expect good returns of future Randy Couture main events because people live "The Natural".
(3) No one else? - There are several heavyweights in the division now but the ones that have been in the UFC for a while have not had impressive performances while those heavyweights that joined over the past several months have made huge strides towards what will eventually be a title shot (if they continue to win). But NONE of them have the physique and instant recognition that Lesnar does.
Though an Mixed Martial Arts (MMA, for short) neophyte, Lesnar has a lot of crossover appeal from his days in the WWE. Let's not forget that he does have a legitimate base for MMA with his background as as NCAA wrestling champ. Make no mistake. Brock Lesnar, according to many, does not deserve a title shot after only being 2-1 in his short MMA career. This is still a business and the UFC is striking while the iron is hot.
This PPV event has the potential to be a transcendental moment for MMA. It could put MMA firmly in the American sports landscape and people will start seeing it as another combat sport on par with boxing (if not better than boxing). Tonight could be the start of a new way of thinking about MMA. The American consciousness could begin to shift away from seeing MMA as simply a modern version of the Bloodsport movies and underground (and illegal) MMA groups that existed in the 80's and early 90's. This change in paradigm is critical for mainstream acceptance of MMA. And though the UFC is the leader of the MMA movement, we cannot forget that it is simply the big fish in the pond. Much like MLB dominates professional baseball while the minor league system and independent baseball leagues still manage to survive. Other promotions like Affliction, Strikeforce, and WEC will aid the UFC in this movement but it won't be easy and acceptance of the sport will not take place overnight... but tonight's event will come close to being an overnight coup.
With all that said... time for predictions. Many thanks to Jorge who has taken the time to provide his insight on tonight's card. My comments and prediction will follow his:
UNDERCARD--
Matt Brown v. Ryan Thomas -
Well, At this point I'll have to go for Brown. He definitely showed he had determination and skill during the show. His bout with Sadollah was a true war and there's no shame in losing the the guy that won the whole thing. I don't really know much about Thomas except that he has been in a winning streak in smaller mid-west organizations. Although Brown just lost to Kim via decision, I think he will "welcome" Thomas into the UFC and show him the difference between the farm leagues and the big time show.
[I agree with J on this one. A rude welcoming is in store for Thomas. Though I don't think he'll be a pushover. I expect a decision for Brown]
Mark Bocek v. Alvin Robinson -
Bocek is great on the ground, but Robinson is sick in the ground. He has great transitions and I think he will overwhelm Bocek. Bocek is coming off two loses to [Frankie] Edgar and [Mac] Danzig, while Robinson has a loss against KenFlo. They both have something to prove, but I think Robinson will pull it off.
[Again I concur with J, but I suspect it'll be more due to experience edge Robinson has. However, expect Bocek to get some chances to finish the fight. Robinson by TKO - a little G'n'P in the 2nd round]
Jeremy Stephens v. Rafael Dos Anjos -
Stephens has been around and he had a nice winning streak until he faced Spencer Fisher. Although I think this will be a good match, Dos Anjos has better BJJ. He also has more high profile fights, albeit in Japan without a cage. I say Dos Anjos.
[My gut is telling me to go with Stephens even though my brain is screaming dos Anjos. Cage experience trumps impact debut once again tonight. Unanimous decision for Stephens despite a good showing for Gracie Fusion's dos Anjos]
Jorge Gurgel v. Aaron Riley -
Riley is virtual unknown that has been in a lot of fights but never wins against any B class or above fighter. Gurgel is a guy that in my opinion should stick to coaching because with his skills he should be finishing dudes instead of eating a lot of punches and losing decisions. I go with Riley on principle, although Gurgel will most likely submit him in the 2nd.
[I told J earlier, I want to root for Gurgel and I'm all for the "make the fight exciting by trading punches with your opponent" but he just doesn't have the striking chops to keep standing. If Gurgel can mix in some takedowns and sub attempts then MAYBE he can grind out a decision victory but I suspect his ego and misplaced pride will get in the way of a proper gameplan. Riley is 3-3 in his last 6 fights but the losses came to Ryan Shultz, Eddie Alvarez, and Spencer Fisher. Not a bad list. Gurgel wouldn't fare much better against those 3. Riley by decision - Gurgel's too good to be subbed and something tells me Riley won't be able to finish it with his striking.]
MAIN CARD--
Dustin Hazelett v. Tamdan McCroy - Tamdam who? Hazelett is still a C level, maybe B level fighter, but he's way better that a guy that gets along with his size. I McLovin via Sub.
[HAHA McCrory who? Yeah yeah he may get no love but McLovin may have his hands full. If it was a battle of nicknames Hazelett's got it hands down-McLovin' vs. The Barn Cat?? No contest, folks!!!- but Hazelett has faced better competition which should give him the edge. Could be a sleeper fight of the night if other major bouts end quickly. McLovin by a super-sweet RNC in the 3rd.]
Demian Maia v. Nate Quarry -
I respect Maia a lot. I think his BJJ is first class and he can definitely scrap. However, Quarry is the man, and he's always improving. Maia has not been dominant in any of the fights I've seen and I think Quarry is going to inflict too much damage even on the ground. I think Quarry has enough sub defense to keep Maia at bay and continue to inflict damage. The rock via TKO strikes.
[Maia has 3 consecutive Submission of the Night honors. And we had to wait nearly 7 months to see Quarry after the embarrassing showing by Starnes. I think this may make Quarry vulnerable in the early going but once he settles in I think he'll be tough to beat. If Maia can slap a sub on early then it may be lights out for Nate but I'm giving this to Quarry as Maia hasn't faced anyone that has as good standup as Quarry. Quarry by KO in the 2nd]
Gabriel Gonzaga v. Josh Hendricks - GG wins via anything he wants to do. Hendricks is in his twilight and this should be a walk in the park for GG. Now Hendricks does hit hard and is a solid wrestler so GG does need to avoid showing off and he has to watch his cardio specially if this goes to the later rounds. I say GG via.. duh... sub.
[I agree that this is a walk in the park for Napao. This is just a set-up for one of the better heavyweights to regain some recognition and maybe work his way up to a title shot. Napao by sub early 2nd -- possibly late in the first round.]
Kenny Florian v. Joe Stevenson -
Now this can be a really good fight, or a bore fest. Given the way KenFlo handled himself against Huerta we may see him bicycle around and picking shots from a distance. The worst thing Stevenson can do is engage in a stand-up battle. I think Kenflo can win this because he has better cardio and his way to slick for Stevenson to submit. I fear it may be a decision as KenFLo "evades" a la Machida and earns the judges votes on points. I hope I'm wrong and Stevenson pushes KenFlo to the cage takes him down and makes this a fight!
[I think the gameplan Jorge mentioned is correct but I think Stevenson's frustration will force Kenny to engage a little and that's where the fight will be won. Neither one has a major advantage on the ground and both have good cardio. I suspect this bout could have a quick end if one of these guys can get a couple of good shots in. Neither one has knockout power IMO and neither one has a glass jaw... but the one who can get the better of the mini-flurries will win this bout... by decision. Agree on possible fight of the night honors.]
Randy Couture v. Brock Lesnar -
Experience v Youth, Strategy v power, Skill v raw strength... we could go on all night. I'm worried about Lesnar's size, strength and explosiveness. I'm worried about Lesnar's hulking size and ability to hold people on the mat. I'm worried because this mastodon actually has footwork and will not be as easy a target to punch in the face. Finally I'm worried because Couture's greco clinch and dirty boxing may be simply shrugged off and nullified. I think Lesnar's main weakness is submission defense, unfortunately for Couure that means he has to tangle with Lesnar and possibly go to the ground. I think Couture can do it, I think he can frustrate Lesnar with strikes and leg kicks and get him on the mat, work a good mount and rain strikes on him. But in the end I'm worried about Lesnar doing what we all know he can do and put an exclamation point on Randy's career. I'll say Couture, because he has a real shot, but also because I'm hoping against hope.
[I don't want to repeat a lot of what has already been said but this is by far one of the toughest fights I've ever had to predict. There are just so many unknowns and what-ifs. Will Lesnar's size be a non-factor since Couture had large heavyweights in training camp? Will Randy's experience trump Lesnar's hunger to be champion? Will there be ring rust for "The Natural"? Will the "big game jitters" affect Brock? Ultimately, I think the fight is Brock's to lose. He runs on adrenaline and works well at feeding off of the crowd (probably picked up from his WWE days). If the fans back Randy, he'll play the "bad guy" role. If they root for him - unlikely - he'll get super pumped. If he lets the crowd get to him, his amplified adrenaline rush could cause him to break his gameplan or get a little too excited and make mistakes... which Randy could capitalize on. Couture is a master strategist and I am sure Randy will have a great gameplan. The question is whether he will be able to implement it. I feel that, for Lesnar, a loss at this stage of his career would do more for his development as an MMA fighter. But I've worked out all possibilities I could think of and I honestly cannot see Randy do anything to really beat Lesnar. If Couture loses, we could see him next against either dos Santos (who looked really good against Werdum last month) or Gonzaga if he wins tonight. There is the chance that Randy grinds out a decision victory. In the end, I think his layoff hurts him and Brock gets the win. I honestly don't know how. He won't be able to sub Randy, though I think he maybe able to overwhelm him with his size and wild striking. Ladies and gents, we will have a new heavyweight champion tonight... I think. lol.]
This should indeed be a good night for MMA.
I'll see you all back here tomorrow as I review how we did in our predictions.
- AG
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